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First-time-taker pass rates for the NCLEX-RN, by U.S. jurisdiction, sourced from NCSBN. Why rates vary, what they mean for choosing a nursing school, and what they don't tell you about whether you'll pass.
The U.S. national first-time-taker pass rate for the NCLEX-RN sits in the 85–88% band most quarters. State-level rates range roughly from 78% to 95%, but the variation says more about which schools sit in each state than about the state itself. Repeat-taker pass rates are dramatically lower (~45–50% nationally), which tells you something important: preparation matters far more than geography.
Authoritative source. NCSBN (National Council of State Boards of Nursing) publishes quarterly pass-rate reports at ncsbn.org/exams/exam-statistics-and-publications. State boards of nursing publish school-level breakdowns. The numbers below are aggregated state totals for first-time U.S.-educated test-takers — the population most NCLEX prep articles are talking about.
Pass rates compiled from publicly published NCSBN quarterly summaries. Numbers vary quarter to quarter — check NCSBN directly for the latest. The list below includes the largest states by candidate volume plus historically high and low performers.
| State | First-time pass rate (range) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | ~92–95% | Consistently top tier; small candidate volume. |
| Massachusetts | ~91–94% | BSN-heavy; strong programs. |
| South Dakota | ~91–94% | Smaller programs, tight cohorts. |
| New Hampshire | ~90–93% | BSN-leaning, low ADN share. |
| Oregon | ~89–92% | Prelicensure programs concentrated in fewer schools. |
| North Dakota | ~89–92% | Similar pattern to SD. |
| Utah | ~88–91% | Strong public-university ADN/BSN mix. |
| Wisconsin | ~87–90% | Diverse program mix; consistent. |
| Iowa | ~87–90% | Strong rural-school cohorts. |
| Texas | ~85–88% | High volume; wide range across schools. |
| California | ~84–87% | Highest candidate volume in the country. |
| Florida | ~80–84% | Many for-profit programs pull the average down. |
| New York | ~83–86% | Wide variance by program type. |
| Illinois | ~83–86% | Mix of BSN-strong urban and ADN rural. |
| Georgia | ~82–85% | Volatile; large for-profit footprint. |
| Puerto Rico | ~78–82% | Lower historically — different program structure. |
Ranges reflect normal quarter-to-quarter variation; treat as orientation, not gospel. NCSBN's quarterly report is the canonical source.
Three things drive most of the spread:
U.S.-educated repeat takers pass at roughly 40–50% nationally — a dramatic drop from the first-time number. Two reasons:
What works for repeat takers: diagnostic-driven study. Identify which categories cratered (the CPR shows you), drill those specifically with timed adaptive practice, and use a tool that diagnoses your error pattern (gap vs misread vs second-guess) rather than just your error rate.
State pass rates are an aggregate, not a forecast. They tell you that some students in a state pass at X rate. They tell you almost nothing about whether you will pass.
The variables that actually predict your pass probability:
State-level data is too coarse for that. Look up your school's program-level pass rate on your state's board-of-nursing website (most boards publish annual reports). Compare against the state average. A program that runs 15+ percentage points below its state mean for two years running is a yellow flag — that's program quality showing up, not regional luck.
The national first-time-taker pass rate is healthy. The variability is mostly explained by school mix, not state geography. Whether you pass is far more about how you prepared than where you took the test. Build your prep around real diagnostic feedback, not aspirational averages.
The app's pass-day forecast tells you the calendar date you'll be NCLEX-ready based on your current mock-exam performance, content coverage, and consistency — not a national average. 7-day free trial on monthly+ plans.
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